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Friday, April 24, 2009

Entry: EUR/USD Short

The pair touched 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.3391 to 1.2881 just and bounced for 50 pips now. I sell the pair at 1.3225 with Stop Loss around 1.3400 area and targeting it lower trendline around 1.2550 area. However, first support might be seen at 1.312x area near 50% Fibonacci level (see H1 chart). I'm not really sure if the pair has found its peak actually, but I have my Stop Loss. And I have to take risk right? :)

Daily Chart

H1 Chart

Update: GBP/JPY 2nd Entry

I add another GBP/JPY short position at 142.84. The pair went back inside the channel and tested my Stop Loss level (near 23.6% area of 118.80 to 151.52 and 30 EMA in H4 chart) before it dropped again below the channel. Target still remain at 139.02 first and 135.16 next.

GBP/JPY H4 Chart

I also move SL to 143.30 based on the MA crossover signal. I add another trendline as you can see below, which had been broken now. However, the pair need to break it previous low at 140.58. Otherwise, I wont be surprised if it makes another bullish move later on US session. I'm preety confident though, that the pair will go to 135.16 area since USD/JPY had gone below it channel also, with QQE crossing 50 level. That's all. Bye :)

GBP/JPY H1 Chart
USD/JPY Daily Chart

Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Entry: The Channel is Broken

I sell GBP/JPY just now at 142.28. The pair broke the uptrend channel on 4 hour chart and had retraced to test the channel. The first target is 38.2% retracement of 118.80 to 151.52 at 139.02 and 50% retracement next at 135.16. Below are the daily and 4 hour chart. Stop loss set at 144.50 area. I tried to confirm my analysis and I found one that is similar by "GJ Trader". Check the post here to get second opinion :)

Daily Chart

H4 Chart

It's been a while since my last post. Trading result had not been good with false signals on 30 EMA system (hourly chart) and several gambling trades :P I am still ahead of my monthly target though. Well, that is all guys. Bye :)

Monday, April 6, 2009

Closed: The Shorts Went Good

I closed the GBP/JPY position at 149.15 after it touch the lower channel on hourly chart. The pair broke the channel literally a few seconds after I closed it :P I quickly opened another position and closed it with 66 pips. So, it turned out that the second attempt to sell GBP/JPY ended well. As I mentioned in my previous post, the target can be more way down at 145.50 or 143.60 area. So I will look for 30 EMA signal on hourly chart to enter another short position.

GBP/JPY H1 Chart

I also entered EUR/USD after I realized that the price was near 1.3587, which is 50% Fibo retracement (yellow) of 1.4718 (December high) to 1.2456 (March low). The pair broke a minor trendline on hourly chart and I closed it at 1.3406, few pips above 38.2% retracement (blue) of 1.3113 (March 30 low) to today's high at 1.3580. There is a long signal on 4 hour chart actually
with stop loss around 1.3265 but I think I'll wait until the pair touches or near another trendline below. Below is the chart. Happy trading!

EUR/USD H1 Chart

Entry: GBP/JPY Second Attempt

The pair broke 148.30 resistance and went as high as 150.70 for now. I had closed my position from last Friday with 169 pips loss. I spotted another resistance on weekly chart and decided to give it another try. The pair has touch the 30 EMA on weekly chart at 150.75. My entry point was 150.40. The pair also at the upper channel on 1 hour chart. Below are the weekly and hourly chart.

50% fibonacci retracement of 118.80 (January low) to 150.72 is at 134.72. On hourly chart, 50% fibonacci retracement of 135.70 to 150.72 is at 143.21. However, 148 (broken resistance) and 145 (March high) area have to be broken first.

Weekly Chart

H1 Chart

That is all for now. Happy trading guys!

Friday, April 3, 2009

Entry: GBP/JPY at Resistance

Ok, this is definitely my last entry this week. GBP/JPY is at one of its previous highs at 148.58. The pair also almost reach 30 EMA on weekly chart. I entered short looking for 200 pips with stop loss at the resistance area. That's all. Bye.

Entry: EUR/USD Short For 50% Fibonacci Retracement

It turned out that I was not done for this week :P I entered short on EUR/USD last night. The pair touched its channel resistance and has been moving sideways. I entered at 1.3478 with stop loss around 1.3520. 38.2% retracement is at 1.3382 which is 100% projection of A to B while 50% retracement (1.3340) is at the broken resistance. I pretty sure this is my last trade this week. I also look forward on how the market react after tonight news. That's all guys. I'll update later. Happy trading!

Thursday, April 2, 2009

Closed: EUR/USD Reach Target

The pair has reach my target at 1.3400 after the EU bid rate come out higher than expected (although they still cut by 25 basis point). At the moment, EUR/USD has gone as high as 1.3492. The pair might continue moving up now with support at 1.3340. So, I may done for this week, considering NFP news tomorrow. That's all.. :)

Entry: EUR/USD Bounce From 50% Retracement

The pair bounced off the 50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.2481 to 1.3737 last week and still hold the support. Higher lows has been formed since then. I have made some trade with entries at the support trendline. Buy signal appears today based on the 30 EMA system on hourly chart. However, TP level will be higher this time. Instead of fixed target of 65 pips, I want to try 1.34 and hopefully will be done this week. Below is the screen shot.

H1 Chart
H4 Chart
On daily chart, the 30 EMA which is near the 50% Fibo level seems to provide strong support. In other words, it is a buy signal also! :P I think EU may test the previous high or that resistance trendline at 1.3737, but 1.3400 is fine for me :)

D1 Chart

Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Closed: GBP/JPY

My GBP/JPY position was closed with 145 pips. The target was actually much farther than that, but I forgot to change the take profit order. I was kinda confused with the original TP for 30 EMA system. It was a great price to buy actually and should be around 500 pips now. Well, the trade had been made and now I will focus on the 30 EMA system on 1 hour again.